Forecasting & ModellingShare
Research focussed on forecasting the spread or modelling the dynamics of the virus
Published and Preprint Papers
Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application.
Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19, by Age and Race and Ethnicity - United States, January 26-October 3, 2020.
A modelling framework to assess the likely effectiveness of facemasks in combination with 'lock-down' in managing the COVID-19 pandemic.
COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.