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Forecasting & Modelling
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Research focussed on forecasting the spread or modelling the dynamics of the virus
Published and Preprint Papers
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Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period.
Assessing mandatory stay-at-home and business closure effects on the spread of COVID-19.
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2).
SARS-CoV-2 Transmission From People Without COVID-19 Symptoms.
Mobility network models of COVID-19 explain inequities and inform reopening.
Global minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of caregivers: a modelling study.
Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19, by Age and Race and Ethnicity - United States, January 26-October 3, 2020.
Face masks effectively limit the probability of SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
Inferring the effectiveness of government interventions against COVID-19.
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