Forecasting & Modelling

Research focussed on forecasting the spread or modelling the dynamics of the virus

Published and Preprint Papers

Title

Effects of environmental conditions on COVID-19 morbidity as an example of multicausality: a multi-city case study in Italy.

A deterministic compartmental model for the transition between variants in the spread of Covid-19 in Italy.

Effects of Vaccination on the Two-strain Transmission Dynamics of COVID-19: Dougherty County, Georgia, USA as a Case Study.

Evaluation of phase-adjusted interventions for COVID-19 using an improved SEIR model.

Bayesian spatial modelling of localised SARS-CoV-2 transmission through mobility networks across England.

Impact of vaccinations, boosters and lockdowns on COVID-19 waves in French Polynesia.

The Application of Simulation Methods During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Scoping Review.

The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and its related social restriction measures on emergency department visits for transient global amnesia: an interrupted time-series analysis.

A data-driven framework to assess population dynamics during novel coronavirus outbreaks: A case study on Xiamen Island, China.

Morbidity trend and space-time clusters of COVID-19 occurrence in children and adolescents.