Forecasting & Modelling

Research focussed on forecasting the spread or modelling the dynamics of the virus

Published and Preprint Papers

Title

Altmetric

Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand

Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period.

The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application.

High Contagiousness and Rapid Spread of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2.

A modelling framework to assess the likely effectiveness of facemasks in combination with 'lock-down' in managing the COVID-19 pandemic.

COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship: estimating the epidemic potential and effectiveness of public health countermeasures.

Estimates of the severity of coronavirus disease 2019: a model-based analysis.

Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe.

Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France.

School closure and management practices during coronavirus outbreaks including COVID-19: a rapid systematic review.