Forecasting & Modelling
Research focussed on forecasting the spread or modelling the dynamics of the virus
Published and Preprint Papers
Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand
Substantial undocumented infection facilitates the rapid dissemination of novel coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2).
Excess Deaths Associated with COVID-19, by Age and Race and Ethnicity - United States, January 26-October 3, 2020.
Global minimum estimates of children affected by COVID-19-associated orphanhood and deaths of caregivers: a modelling study.